Chances of hitting, flopping and holding certain hands
These odds are a must know if you want to advance your game to a high level. For exact odds you can check out our poker hand odds calculator. We rounded the number to the nearest decimal for you.
- Poker Odds Of Hitting Over Cards While Having A Pair As you see from the table, you should not be surprised to see over cards even when holding premium pairs. The probability of that happening is reasonably high and you will see and over card to pocket jack on the flop around 57% of the time.
- Playing poker is about playing the odds. The following list gives the odds for outcomes in Texas Hold'em hands. When you realize how heavily the odds are stacked against you, you may want to rethink going all-in before the flop with two suited cards. Use the odds to your advantage: 1 percent (1-in-100): Percentage of.
On the flop, it's 9.4 (+4) = roughly 40% of hitting. Meanwhile, on the turn (so the odds of hitting on the river) is 9.2 (=2) = roughly 20% of hitting. With pot odds, think of the number of cards again. 52 in the deck, two in your hand and three on the board (flop). That means 47 unseen cards (including your opponents' hole cards).
You should know what beats what in poker before trying to apply these odds or playing like you see poker on tv and in commercials.
| Scenarios – Chances of Having Certain Hands | Examples | Probability |
| Chances of Being Dealt | ||
| Pair | 6h 6d | 6% |
| Suited Cards | Ah 10h | 24% |
| Connecting Suits | 2d 3d | 4% |
| Aces or Kings | AA KK | .9% |
| Ace King | AhKs | 1.2% |
| Ace King Suited | AhKh | .3% |
| An Ace | A3 | 16% |
| Cards Jacks or Higher not Paired | KJ | 9% |
| Not Suited & Not Connected | 9h 4s | .9% |
| Bad Beats | ||
| Bad Beat ex: Aces vs Kings heads up | AA vs KK | .004% |
| Chances of Hitting on Flop | ||
| Pocket Pair Into A Set | JJ into JJJ | 8% |
| Pair Turning Into A Set On Turn | 4% | |
| Hitting Pair on Flop | 32% | |
| Flopping Four To Flush-You hold 6h7h-flop comes-> | Ah Kh 2s | 11% |
| Chances of Board Coming All Same | 5h 5s 5d | .004% |
| Number of Players To Flop Odds | ||
| Situation – Chances someone hit top pair on board | ||
| 5 players see flop | 58% | |
| 4 players see flop | 47% | |
| 3 player see flop | 35% | |
| 2 player see flop | 23% | |
| After Flop – Chances of Making Hand | ||
| Making open straight – You hold 67 Flop comes 8,9,2 | turn 10 | 34% |
| Two pair to full house – You- 47 Board 4,7,10 Turn –> | 7 | 17% |
| Hitting A Gut Shot Straight | 17% | |
| Backdoor Flush – You have 1 spade – Board 2s4h8s | 10s 7s | 4% |
| Runner Runner Straight | 1.5% | |
| Hitting Either Gut Shot Straight or Backdoor Flush | 21% | |
| Pairing An Ace on Turn or River | 13% | |
| Before Any Cards Are Dealt – Chances of Getting | ||
| Royal Flush (All Spades) | AKQJ10 | .0002% |
| Straight Flush (Any same suits) | 56789 | .0012% |
| Four of a Kind (Quads) | 5555K | .0239% |
| Full House (Boat) | 33322 | .144% |
| Flush (all same suit) =>all hearts | 37K48 | .19% |
| Straight | 34567 | .35% |
| Three of a Kind | 555AK | 2.11% |
| Two Pair | AAKK2 | 4.7% |
| One Pair | 77253 | 42% |
| Don't catch anything | 2854K | 50% |
Why Poker Odds Matter
Odds Of Making Poker Hands
Why Odds Matter To any good Texas Holdem players these odds come naturally. They may not know the exact percentage but they instinctively know their odds. Referencing this table is a great way to understand your percentages if you are a new player or if you want to calculate your pot odds.
We developed what we believe are the best formulas for calculating pot odds that you will find on the internet. It is the same way the pros calculate their pot odds and we also simplified it for those of you who are not that good at math. Check out the Pot Odds section.
For those unfamiliar with outs, an 'out' is the term used in the after-flop betting rounds to describe any card among the unseen cards in the deck that can substantially improve the value of your hand on the next card turned up.
For example, if after the flop you happen to have a total of four hearts, then your hand has nine 'outs' because there are nine of the original thirteen hearts still left in the unseen remaining deck. A much weaker draw hand would be for example, an inside straight. This hand only has four outs because the only cards left in the deck that can complete the straight would be the four cards of the missing denomination.
Of course, the more outs you have the better chance you have of making a strong hand. This chart offers some extra ways to look at and evaluate those chances. All Texas Holdem hands have 47 unseen cards after the flop and 46 after the turn. The chart is nothing more than the number of outs and these two unseen cards amounts, expressed in different ways.
Those on mobile devices or tablets may wish to view the holdem after flop outs odds chart in high quality .pdf format.
Odds Of Hitting Poker Hands Signals
It might be interesting for you to note that when you double the number of outs, you get a number that is approximately the expected hit percentage of a single draw to your hand. For example, 8 outs equals about 16% (actually 17.02%) and 12 outs equals about 24% (actually 25.53%). You might find similar references or comparisons that you can use.
